School roll projections

We publish school roll projections for primary and secondary schools in December each year. These show how many children we predict will be at a school in the future. We use these as a strategic guide.

Download the projections, and information on how we create them, below.

We base our projections on

  • birth rates
  • housing developments
  • catchment population trends.

The projections suggest when certain schools will be over capacity.

Future projections may vary due to changes in

  • patterns of attendance
  • the housing and construction industries
  • education policy.

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